Ethereum Netflow Spikes To Derivatives Markets – Is a Price Swing on the Horizon?

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Ethereum (ETH) has seen a lackluster phase in recent weeks, with the asset seeing slight price increases but still struggling to stay near or above the $3,000 level after a brief rally in August.

According to a hadith analysis From a CryptoQuant analyst The behind-the-scenes price struggle for ETH has been very interesting, as the asset has seen a significant shift in its net flow.

This shift in the net flow of Ethereum could have significant implications for ETH, which could affect the market reaction either positively or negatively.

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Anatomy of Ethereum Netflow

CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha revealed in a recent post on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform that Ethereum has recently seen a spike in net flows, with nearly 96,000 ETH moving to derivatives exchanges.

Bitcoin exchange flow. | Source: Cryptoquant

According to Taha, this influx could indicate that traders are bracing for potential price shifts, as large transfers to derivatives platforms have historically preceded periods of increased volatility or even corrections.

Taha’s analysis, supported by previous highs in May and early July, suggests that Ethereum’s current activity may herald an intense period of market action. The analyst wrote:

The recent rise in net flow could indicate another period of increased activity in the market, perhaps a price correction or sharp movement depending on the trader’s positions.

Market sentiment is derived from Bitcoin

In addition to Ethereum net inflows, Taha looked at the Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index, noting that this measure shows peaks in sentiment that may serve as indicators of broader market behavior.

Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index. | Source: Cryptoquant

He pointed to three instances in which the sentiment index rose, marked by peaks circled in red (in the chart above), and each time coincided with the top of the local market. This trend indicates that after a peak in trader sentiment, the price of Bitcoin usually experiences a decline.

The sentiment indicator can therefore act as a “contrarian indicator” – when optimism reaches its peak, price corrections often follow. These sentiment patterns may indicate that investors should prepare for potential volatility for Ethereum, which is closely related to Bitcoin.

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Meanwhile, Ethereum continued to hover somewhere below $3,000. So far, the asset recorded a correction last week, falling by 3.1%. However, last day’s performance is trying to be more positive.

During this period, Ethereum saw a slight increase of 0.9%, rising to a high of $2,559 earlier in the day before now trading for $2,541, at the time of writing.

ETH price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT TradingView.com

Despite the notable volatility the asset has seen in the past week alone, rising above $2,700 and falling below $2,500, Ethereum’s daily trading volume appears to have maintained its composure.

Data Coingecko shows that this metric remained between $15 billion and $19 billion last week without any significant rise or fall.

Featured image created with DALL-E, chart from TradingView

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