IMF chief economist says Bank of Japan rate hikes a good development for Japan

The Bank of Japan could continue to raise interest rates gradually at a “data-dependent” pace, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told Reuters in an interview at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday:

  • Inflation is above the bank’s 2% target.
  • Inflation expectations have started to move “perhaps even slightly above” this target.
  • “The Bank of Japan’s beginning to normalize monetary policy is certainly something we think is a good development for Japan.”

Gorinchas also gave his opinion on market volatility:

  • “I think the market overreacted.”
  • “…we may see further episodes of market volatility” due to interest rate cuts by several central banks as the Bank of Japan begins to raise rates

I don’t know how much attention the Bank of Japan will pay to his views. But I suspect it won’t.

He’s right about more volatility ahead at least. With Fed Chair Powell confirming a September rate cut:

And the Bank of Japan’s interest rates are rising, and there’s more to come.

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