There is now (CME marketwatch) and 83% 25 bps chance feed it Hike in May, from 74% On Friday, mixed US data (significant loss in retail sales, slight beats to industrial production and consumer confidence) American dollar rallied a significant number from a 12-month low, & gold Crash under $2000. US stocks closed lower (-0.35% to -0.72%) in spite of the beats of large profits from the banks, JPM +7.6%but Boeing drunk -5.6% as a supplier error spirit (-20.7%) discontinued deliveries of the 737 Max. Asian markets were higher (Nikki 6-week high) to start the week before cooling.
Weekend (IMF meeting) and overnight data – Ueda She had more cautious comments, relents He said that tightening bank credit could be an alternative to raising the federal interest rates, Lagarde He warned of a “narrow path” to the global economic recovery and Damon You would expect rates to be “higher for longer”. New Zealand dollar The Performance Services Index eased to 54.4 vs. 55.8 but food inflation eased to 0.8% from 1.5% & China New home prices rose at their fastest pace in 21 months.
- FX – USD Bounce from below 100.50 and a 12-month low of more than 100 points to 101.50 But it still records the seventh consecutive week of declines and trading at 101.25 now. euro refuse who 1.1075 to 1.0970 and trades in 1.0990 test now 1.1000. JPY tested 132.00 on Friday before it goes up 134.00 today. sstunned rallied to breach 1.2545 On Friday before it drops under 1.2400 Earlier but it is traded in 1.2415 now.
- Stores – US markets closed lower across all sectors (-0.35% to -0.72%) The interest rate-sensitive technology sector led the rally. #US500 Closed -8.58 points. in 4137. – 500 USD FUTS fixed today at 4169 after it was as high as 4188 on Friday and above the main resistance at 4175. #CITI, +4.8% & #Black stone + 3.1%.
- Goods – Lycel oil – Futures contracts continue to rotate $82.50 today. gold – tank of test $2,050the level on Friday to less than 1995 dollars. The main metal is back 2000 dollars Today and trading in 2010 dollars.
- Digital currencies – BTC carries under $30 kilos Today’s level from a short high above 31 thousand dollars Friday.
today – Empire State Manu. Bibliography – Letters from Cunliffe of the Bank of England, Lagarde of the European Central Bank, and Nagel of the European Central Bank.
The largest forex engine @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.31%). It continued to rise and is now 7 days higher than below 88.00 to test 90.00 once again today. Moving averages align up, MACD histogram and signal line are positive and bullish, RSI 58.65 and bullish, H1 ATR 0.155, daily ATR 0.9200.
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Stuart Coyle
Principal market analyst
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