Mathematically Predicting the Bitcoin Price Bull Cycle Peak

The Bitcoin bull market is heating up, and investors are eagerly searching for data-driven insights into when the next Bitcoin price peak could occur and how high the Bitcoin price will rise. In a recent analysis video I posted Bitcoin Pro Magazinelead analyst Matt Crosby We’ve crunched the numbers carefully to provide a mathematically backed forecast for the peak of Bitcoin’s next bull cycle.

By combining historical patterns, moving averages, and diminishing returns, Crosby’s research sheds light on this August 24, 2025as a critical date — displays a price range of $256,000 to $310,000 For Bitcoin.

See the full analysis

To explore the detailed sports breakdown and see how Matt Crosby reached these predictions, watch the full video analysis here.

Pi cycle top indicator: historical compass

Crosby begins his analysis with Pi cycle top indicatora tool famous for its accuracy in predicting peak Bitcoin prices within just a few days during previous bull markets. The indicator uses two moving averages:

  • the 111 day moving average (111DMA).
  • the 350-day moving average (350DMA) Multiplied by two.

The “Pi” connection arises from the mathematical ratio between these approximate numbers 3.142. Historically, when the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA multiple, Bitcoin reaches the highest levels of a market cycle:

  • 2017: Expect the peak within one day.
  • 2021: The specific day of the peak of the price cycle is called.

Convert data into predictions

To show the next climax, Crosby introduces Pi cycle oscillatorwhich determines how close the two moving averages are to crossing. Use Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s metadata APIAccording to Crosby:

  1. rate of change For moving averages.
  2. Current trends Starting on November 16, 2023, when the oscillator started a new upward trajectory.

Assuming the current trend continues, the two averages are scheduled to cross August 24, 2025marking the peak date of the potential bull cycle.

What about the price?

To estimate the price of Bitcoin at this expected peak, Crosby studies Bitcoin’s historical patterns Diminishing returns— a phenomenon in which Bitcoin price peaks become relatively smaller with each cycle:

  • In 2013, the price of Bitcoin 440% above Moving averages.
  • In 2017, it decreased to 299% above.
  • In 2021, it shrank further to 32% above.

By extrapolating this trend, Crosby provides a range of possible price outcomes:

  • If returns diminish to 28% Above the moving averages (consistent with previous cycles), Bitcoin could peak at $310,000.
  • If yields continue to contract at a faster rate, the peak may fall near $256,700.

Why is this important to investors?

Crosby emphasizes that no analysis is perfect, and that trends evolve as new market dynamics emerge. Institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, and unexpected events can reshape this path. However, his analysis offers value Data-driven roadmap For investors navigating the current bull market.

As the next cycle begins, these forecasts will become increasingly accurate, providing opportunities for investors to improve their strategies.

Key takeaways:

  • Predicting history: August 24, 2025.
  • Peak price range: between $256,000 and $310,000.
  • index: Pi Cycle upper and lower oscillator, powered by Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

For access to live data, powerful indicators, and more exclusive content, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com.

Disclaimer:This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

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