This Is When BTC Price Could Soar to $150K, According to Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Peter Brandt

In a recent analysis, popular cryptocurrency trader Peter Brandt predicted that Bitcoin's current rally could see the cryptocurrency reach a peak of between $130,000 and $150,000 by late August to early September 2025.

Brandt's prediction is based on historical patterns following previous Bitcoin halving events.

Bitcoin's upside could reach between $130,000 and $150,000

The April 20 halving, an important event encoded in the Bitcoin protocol that occurs approximately every four years, cuts mining rewards by half. According to Brandt, these events have historically played a large role in shaping bull market cycles.

In his June 2 report, he detailed how previous halving dates “represented almost perfect consistency over past bull market cycles.”

Specifically, he noted that the number of weeks from the beginning of each bull market cycle, which typically features a significant decline following a decline of more than 75%, to the halving dates, is approximately equal to the number of weeks from the halving dates to the halving. After bull market highs.

Analyzing past patterns, Brandt pointed to Bitcoin's last bull market, which began about 16 months before the halving on May 11, 2020, and concluded approximately 18 months later. This pattern is consistent with previous cycles following the halvings on July 9, 2016 and November 28, 2012.

“If this sequence continues, the high of the next bull market cycle should occur in late August or early September 2025,” Brandt added. He predicted a potential rise in the range of $130,000 to $150,000, noting that although there is no foolproof method of analysis, previous highs fit well with an inverted parabolic curve.

Brandt's analysis points to December 17, 2022, as the beginning of the current bull market, with Bitcoin trading at around $16,800 at the time. Since then, Bitcoin has risen more than 300%, reaching an all-time high of $73,800 on March 14.

Peter Brandt warns of possible 'exponential decay'

However, Brandt also offered a note of caution. He admitted that there is a 25% chance that Bitcoin has already reached the peak of the bull market, since the gains of each cycle pale in comparison to the previous cycle. He also warned that if Bitcoin fails to surpass its previous high and falls below $55,000, it could signal a “massive decline” in its market value.

In a previous post, Brandt Highlight That about 80% of the exponential momentum from each of BTC's last four bull cycles has fallen. Looking to the future, expect exponential growth of around 4.5 times the current value.

While he recognized the potential of the halving to impact Bitcoin's value positively, Brandt stressed the importance of traders watching for signs of exponential decline carefully.