About 82,700 Israeli Israel left in 2023, much more than 2022, and weakened the above in the years before, according to the latest immigration numbers. However, a careful data examination reveals that many of those who left were immigrants from Russia and Ukraine who apparently came to Israel because of the war and extensive draft in both countries.
Removing them from statistics gives a fairly brighter image, but the numbers are still much higher than they were in the past. Is this a sign of the coming things? It is too early to say.
How do we know if someone has left Israel?
The deportation data of Israel are subject to objective systematic difficulties, and exploitation for a political purpose as statistics in a vacuum. In order to really understand the form of immigration from Israel, it is necessary first to understand how to assemble statistics.
When someone flies out, this cannot be known without a comprehensive interrogation of his goal and when, at all, he plans to return. Sometimes the person himself does not know the constant extent of his survival away from the country. The definition used by the Central Bureau of Statistics is a retrospective test. Anyone who traveled abroad has not yet been considered to have left.
In 2024, the Central Bureau of Statistics changed the definition of Israel's departure. Until then, a 365 consecutive residence was needed abroad to classify someone as he left, but a study from the office found that this number was not reliable, because home visits sometimes stood up to the sequence and prevented someone from classifying it as he left even though this was clearly the case. Therefore, in an attempt to adopt international acceptable criteria, the office announced last year that it was turning “from a consecutive approach to an approach that allows short visits” so that the survival required abroad was shortened to 275 days (not necessarily in a row) during the year to the date of the check.
Even after the change, it is still only possible to know the delay of a year as the immigration numbers were during a certain period. Immigration numbers for the year 2024 presented by the Central Bureau of Statistics at its annual conference at the end of last month are actually related to 2023. We will only get full statistics for 2024 at the end of 2025. Therefore, for clarity, from here, we will refer to the numbers according to the period they are associated with, and not when they were issued.
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The population of Israel exceeds 10 meters, leaving 83,000
Two main events occurred in 2023: the government strengthens the judicial reform program, which sparked many concerns and immigration turned into a public discussion issue; And the beginning of the war in October of that year.
October 2023 was especially extremist for migration, following the attack by Hamas and the opening of hostilities, and the migration balance reached 12,600 net graduates (with fewer Israelis returning in that month), which compares with a negative balance of only 1300 in October 2300. 2022. Even before the war erupted, immigration was unusually high.
So what can explain the numbers? At least partially, the interpretation lies in the events that are indirectly related to Israel. In February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, and many were forced to flee the war areas. Ukraine announced intense recruitment, and in September 2022, Russia announced a partial summons of reserves to fill the ranks after the failure of the initial attack. In addition, the deterioration of the economic situation in Russia. Millions of both countries fled to any possible destination, and the people who are entitled to do this under the return law came to Israel. Thus in 2022, the immigration balance of Israel and Israel was 81200 again more than departure, up from 30200 in 2021.
One of the most recent numbers now, many of these people have chosen not to stay in Israel for a long time, and they apparently left for other Western countries. Of the 82,700 services in 2023, 26,300 new immigrants arrived in Israel in the previous two years, most of them from Russia and Ukraine.
If we exclude immigrants who leave the account, we find that the balance of international immigration turns from 18,800 to 8,000 plus, not almost bad as it was believed. However, we should not rejoice very soon: between 2010 and 2021, the balance of positive immigration was 16600-38,100 annually. So even without leaving immigrants, there was a major shift, partly due to the effects of war, in part due to the other circumstances that originated in 2023.
A young and educated: What distinguishes the autumn?
A deeper look at the numbers shows that those who leave are young people at the beginning of their career, with the number of people between the ages of 20 and 40 years 40 % of the total, while the percentage of the population as a whole is only 27 %. The residents of the center and Tel Aviv are calculated by a large percentage of the autumn, and the highest level of the population as a whole. The northern, southern regions, Jews and Samaria were represented by those who are leaving the country, while for Jerusalem and Haifa, representation is somewhat close to their lineage in the population.
Regarding education, 53.7 % of those who leave Israel have thirteen years or more of the study, which compares with 45.2 % in the general population. In general, the autumn are young people, relatively well educated, with a great opportunity to succeed in professions abroad, who deserve to risk immigration to a new country.
The bottom line, things in Israel, as usual, are complicated. There is already a great migration, but attention must be paid to those who leave and why. However, the situation in 2023 was much worse than it was in the normal year. What happened in 2024? We will discover that at the end of 2025 only.
It was published by Globes, Israel Business News – En.globes.co.il – on March 10, 2025.
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