US February ISM manufacturing 47.8 vs 49.5 expected

  • Prior was 49.1

Details:

  • Prices paid 52.5 vs 52.9 prior
  • Employment 45.9 vs 47.1 prior
  • New orders 49.2 vs 52.5 prior
  • Inventories 45.3 vs 46.2 prior
  • Production 48.4 vs 50.4 prior

This is a big surprise, especially after a strong S&P Global report a few minutes ago.

Comments in the report are more upbeat than the numbers:

  • “Currently seeing increasing sales in our business. Most delivery dates are in the second quarter of 2024.” (Chemical Products)
  • “The first quarter will be slower due to some customer order
    changes, but we are expecting the rest of 2024 to be strong. We may
    increase our growth projections.” (Transportation Equipment)
  • “Typical first quarter volume drops from fourth quarter high
    volumes. Additional distribution has allowed us to maintain consistent
    production shifts.” (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
  • “Customer softness continues in China, Japan and Europe.” (Computer & Electronic Products)
  • “Demand has finally picked up, with customer orders more closely
    resembling typical January and February levels. January was up 22
    percent compared to December; February up 26 percent compared to
    January.” (Machinery)
  • “Customer orders are steady, neither up nor down compared to last
    month. This steady state is what we budgeted and forecast. We are
    forecasting business to increase 2 percent to 4 percent over the next
    couple of months.” (Fabricated Metal Products)
  • “Business outlook overall is stable. Working through customer
    backlog with some raw material lead times improving.” (Miscellaneous
    Manufacturing)
  • “We reflected on 2023 for maybe a minute and turned the page forward
    to 2024. Weather in January caused several operations to be idle, and
    shipments were affected.” (Nonmetallic Mineral Products)
  • “The month seems to be getting stronger with each passing day and
    week. Lots of market volatility —pricing flat to downward. It will be
    interesting to see how the last days of the month play out, as
    indications seem to be all over the place.” (Primary Metals)
  • “We are experiencing increased sales, which is putting pressure on
    the plant and assembly to meet new customer demand.” (Electrical
    Equipment, Appliances & Components)

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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