US treasury auctions off $38 billion a 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.908%

  • High yield: 4.908%
  • WI level at the time of the auction: 4.91%
  • Tail: -0.2 bps (previous: 0.3bps, six-auction average: -0.2bps)
  • Bid-to-Cover: 2.7x (previous: 2.47x, six-auction average: 2.73x)
  • Dealers (they take the leftovers from the domestic and international investors): 10.98% (previous: 14.6%, six-auction average: 12.0%)
  • Directs (a measure of domestic demand): 18.4% (previous: 19.9%, six-auction average: 17.6%)
  • Indirects (a measure of international demand): 70.62% (previous: 65.5%, six-auction average: 70.4%)

AUCTION GRADE: Compared to yesterday, an A.

The market was nervous going into the auction especially given the weak demand yesterday. However, both domestic and international demand was stronger than the 6-month average (by a little). The bid to cover was near the 6-month average. Dealers were saddled with less than normal.

If the grade was not curverd given the recent auctions, the auction grade was more like a B-/C+, but relatively, it gets a sigh of relief and better grade.

Yields have moved a little lower with:

  • 5 year at 4.816% -10 basis points
  • 10 year 4.872% -7.9 basis points
  • 30 year 5.024% -6.8 basis points

In the stock market (not sure I can trust), the declines have been paired a bit

  • Dow is down -0.61%
  • S&P -1.09%
  • NASDAQ index -1.76%
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