Death, taxes and 21 million bitcoins. This we know for sure. The rest is guesswork. Today I wanted to share with you my big bets on the next halving. I'm sure in 4 years I will be complaining about some of these “prophecies” but some of them will come true. I don't have a lot of data to back up these predictions, some of it is just feelings, some of it is random. All I know is that the future is strange.
3 Zeta Hash Mining
Based on my mining experience during the previous course, I learned a valuable lesson in trying to estimate hash rate, think log not linear. The current hash rate has exceeded my expectations by a very long time, so I will go longer in the next session. We will see more nation states adopting this and it will be torn apart. This is how we conquer the stars.
5 countries in the Western Hemisphere announce USDT legal tender
Countries suffering from high inflation and unstable currencies are exploring cryptocurrencies as legal tender, similar to El Salvador. Political movements in countries such as Argentina and Venezuela are showing increasing public and legislative interest in digital currencies. Economic reports suggest that adopting digital currencies can reduce transaction costs and increase financial inclusion.
Apple is integrating Stablecoins into the wallet
Apple has historically embraced new financial technologies (slowly), but there is significant interest from users in accessing stables alongside traditional banking in mobile wallet apps. Recent appointments and patents filed by Apple in the field of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology point to future product offerings including digital currencies.
Liquid growth fueled by USDt
Liquid Network's total daily transaction volume is laughable today at the halving, but with stablecoin regulation in place, we will see an insane increase in demand for Tether which will fuel Liquid's growth. As of today, the price of USDt on liquid is approximately $36,500,000 or 3.17% of the total supply of USDt. ($111,897,000,000). I expect over $1 billion to be issued on Liquid by the next halving or a 2600% increase. This is a wild guess I'm making based on the assumption that USDt dominoes fall into place based on other prophecies.
Arrangements are still thriving
The declining NFT market has shown consistent interest in “blockchain-based verification of ownership,” indicating a strong future for projects like Ordinals. The initial uptake of digital artists and collectors at Ordinals' launch indicates long-term viability. Technological improvements in blockchain scalability make it possible to manage comprehensive data such as that used in Ordinals.
The fee carries a 2:1 subsidy on mining revenues
As block rewards have been halved, transaction fees have become a more significant part of miners' income, which was evident in the last two halvings. Economic models predict that accumulating fees will become the dominant incentive for miners as transactions increase. Historical data shows an increase in fee ratios compared to block rewards with each halving event. I charge maxi.
The LN will be 90% centralized and compatible.
The growth of the accelerator network is fueled by major financial institutions looking for scalable solutions, leading to potential centralization. Regulatory pressures are shaping cryptographic technologies in favor of centralization to facilitate censorship. Studies of network nodes show a trend toward centralization as major players establish dominant positions.
E-money finds a market niche with miner payouts
The need for efficient payment methods for miners is driving the adoption of e-cash solutions that offer instant payouts with low fees. Pilot projects show promising results for integrating electronic cash into mining operations. Economic analyzes suggest that electronic cash can reduce volatility and improve liquidity for miners.
Challenges in seed phrase security due to Neuralink
Neuralink and similar projects are exploring direct brain-computer interfaces, complicating traditional coding practices. All your seeds belong to the machines. New methods of producing seeds without detecting them to machines are becoming crucial.
Oil contracts settled on the chain
The use of Bitcoin in commodity trading is expanding with the success of pilots in cross-chain trading of crude oil. Countries critical of the dominance of the US dollar are exploring Bitcoin solutions to circumvent traditional financial systems. Improvements in Bitcoin technology have enhanced its ability to handle complex and large-scale contract settlements.
The Bitcoin ETF exceeds the market cap of the Gold ETF
The rapid expansion of the Bitcoin investment market and the launch of Bitcoin ETFs in many countries indicate a growing market. Bitcoin's market capitalization sometimes exceeds major companies (FAANG) and traditional assets. Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a “safe haven” asset, driving ETF investments. Rib gold.
Assassination markets settled by decentralized oracles
More than $100 billion is locked in “DeFi platforms,” which handle “decentralized applications.” The feasibility of decentralized oracles in settling bets on real-world events. We will see assassination markets on the IRL series. It may have been carried out by drone swarms.
Reorganization of Epic Sat
We wanted fireworks for the last half and we didn't get them. The next half we get. The value of Epic Sat will be huge by the next halving and mining pools that do not participate will be ridiculed.
SV2 only captures 20% of the hash rate
Nobody cares unfortunately. Large complexes are not incentivized to adopt SV2. Large groups will continue to find innovative ways to monetize blocks, and this does not include SV2.
An American state invests in Bitcoin
States such as Wyoming and Texas have enacted blockchain-friendly laws, laying the legislative foundation for such investments. Diversifying state treasuries with Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation, especially as the strength of the US dollar fluctuates. Many state treasurers have shown interest in exploring digital assets as part of financial strategies.
Artificial Intelligence becomes conscious and demands Bitcoin
The machine(s) want bitcoin, not shitcoin.
China lifts ban on Bitcoin mining
The previous ban on Bitcoin mining in China greatly impacted the global hash rate and mining landscape. Remining Bitcoin will economically boost China's industrial and technology sectors. They will no longer ignore the importance of segmentation.
The Great Replacement becomes a reality, leading to mass deportations
Nationalist movements in Europe have used the Great Replacement theory to influence immigration policy. Demographic studies predict significant demographic shifts, which may support radical policy changes. The political gains of parties that endorse these theories indicate potential moves toward more extreme demographic policies.
Bukele continues as president
Bukele's popularity in El Salvador has been boosted by his bullish Bitcoin economic policies, indicating the potential for long-term leadership. Surveys in El Salvador show high approval rates for Bukele, especially among tech-savvy demographics. Constitutional or legislative changes would facilitate extensions of terms or frequent re-elections.
Bitcoin-Dollar is a documentary
Financial analysts' models predict that Bitcoin's value will exceed $1 million per coin within the decade, taking supply and demand dynamics into account. The price of Bitcoin has historically risen following halving, supporting expectations of future price increases. Institutional investment is increasing, as major companies allocate their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, enhancing their legitimacy and demand.
The BIP meter is activated
CTV, LNHANCE. OPCAT, some BIP activated.
