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in analysis Shared on 2nd of 2025.
“It’s been another month and a half, and the whole hacking thesis is driving a lot of eyes on the cryptocurrency charts now,” Al-Falaki says. Looking back on his previous predictions, he noted, “The last time we published our Q4 bullish breakout plan, Bitcoin was at $58,000 and Ethereum was at $2.3,000.” Since then, Bitcoin has risen by 20% and Ethereum by 13%, moves that occurred “contrary to the belief of technical analysis users in the lower time frame, even before the full breakout occurred.”
When will this crypto bull trend end?
The astrologer stresses that traditional order flow and price action analysis are less effective on higher time frames, prompting him to look for “an advantage elsewhere” through multiple data analyses. “We have put our thesis into practice, with multiple data analyzes supporting not only that the bottom has been reached, but also that we are likely to see a breakout of the high time frame,” he explains.
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Delving into Bitcoin’s macro perspective, the astrologer uses a combination of time, sentiment, and volume to identify weekly cycle lows. He points out that “the capitulation event in the Middle East (tensions between Israel and Iran) clearly shaped this, and came at a good time 28 weeks after the lows of the previous weekly cycle.” With the next weekly decline not expected until late December, he sees “there is still room for upside” and expects “(the price) will accelerate here.”
Speaking about market psychology, he warns: “The market always finds a way to escape on lower time frames as most traders (“investors”) find themselves trapped in the short-term memory fallacy and simply forget the long time frame picture.” The astronomer remains confident in his forecast, saying: “A general peak is still expected in the second half of 2025, which is when I think a real ‘sell-off’ time may occur.”
For Ethereum, the astronomer observes a similar but compressed cyclical pattern compared to Bitcoin. “Ethereum typically declines later near the tops of the four-year cycle (2014, 2018, 2022) and also rises later in the four-year cycle (2016, 2020), making its moves appear more aggressive,” he explained.
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He also addresses current sentiment towards Ethereum and other layer 1 protocols: “It is now clear that ‘useful’ coins are considered ‘useless’, which are typical things needed when the price is not moving. However, anyone who even remotely uses ETH knows what You can do it. The astrologer attributes the stagnation in utility growth to cyclical and emotional factors, noting: “We’ve seen tremendous hype around this in 2021 and that simply hasn’t caught on yet.”
While maintaining a bullish outlook, the astrologer acknowledges the possibility of unexpected events that could disrupt the market. “Despite all the data, there is always a small chance that I am wrong,” he admitted. Citing potential global crises such as “World War III (WW3)” or “The End of a Nation,” he warns that such events “could always drag the market down significantly,” potentially causing Bitcoin to fall “below $50,000.” “.
However, he remains consistent in his strategy: “Cycles are inherently powerful, and we have shown why these events should not bother you. I will actually hold out in this case, hedging with large short trades at the right time and I will continue to ride out the cycle because I believe the price will He recovers from there.
Overall, the analyst cautions traders against losing sight of the broader picture due to short-term market movements: “You’ll start to wonder why… but so far, so good.” When the user asked him: “Wow! Do you think BTC can reach $350,000? This is incredible!”, the astronomer explained his position: “I don’t think so. Optical illusion on the chart. I think we can reach over $150.” To 200 thousand dollars.
At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $66,475.
Featured image created with DALL.E, a chart from TradingView.com
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