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Deutsche Bank says Trump presidency + China tariffs = EUR/USD @parity

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In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos spoke about the main point he made in his talk about the euro:

  • “Imagine a situation where the US erects a massive tariff wall against China.”
  • “All these Chinese goods will have to be diverted to other markets including Europe, so we will see a big deflationary shock in Europe.”
  • He says such tariffs would be implemented more comprehensively and quickly if Donald Trump wins the US presidency, leading to parity between the euro and the dollar.

more:

  • Imposing more tariffs on China and elsewhere would have inflationary consequences for the United States.
  • Deflationary consequences for the rest of the world
  • This would exacerbate the asymmetry between the Fed and the ECB.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan on www.forexlive.com.

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