Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis and Chart
- Gold continues its technical correction.
- Trading activity will pick up later in the week.
Most Read: Gold Picking Up a Small Bid as Oversold Conditions Begin to Clear
US equity and bond markets are closed for the day – US Presidents’ Day holiday – and this will weigh on market activity across a range of asset classes. Activity over the rest of the week should pick up with FOMC minutes, the release of the February PMIs, and chip-giant Nvidia’s earnings all worthy of attention. In addition, a handful of Fed speakers will give their latest thoughts on the economy, and maybe a steer on the future path of US interest rates.
For all market-moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Economic Calendar.
The precious metal is continuing last week’s move despite hotter-than-expected US CPI and PPI data. Market rate-cut expectations continue to be pared back with the first cut now seen at the June meeting with a total of 90 basis points of cuts priced in for this year. In late December, the market forecast the first cut at the March meeting and expected a total of 175 basis points of cuts.
Markets Week Ahead: US Indices, Gold Recover Losses After US Inflation Fears
We noted last week that gold was heavily oversold using the CCI indicator – see the story at the top of this article – and this weakness is currently being reversed. A move higher will find initial resistance from the 20-dsma at $2,023/oz. and ta prior level of horizontal resistance, and the 50-dsma around $2,033/oz. Initial support at $2,000/oz. ahead of $1,987/oz.
Recommended by Nick Cawley
How to Trade Gold
Gold Daily Price Chart
Retail trader data shows 65.66% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.91 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.33% higher than yesterday and 3.79% lower than last week, while the number of traders net-short is unchanged than yesterday and 3.01% lower from last week.
| Change in | Longs | Shorts | OI |
| Daily | 1% | 13% | 5% |
| Weekly | -5% | 5% | -2% |
What is your view on Gold – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.
