It took one of the Mexican President Claudia Xinbum one phone call to get Donald Trump to decline – at least temporarily – from his threat to definitions.
Article content
(Bloomberg) – It took from Mexican President Claudia Xinbom one phone call to get Donald Trump to decline – at least temporarily – from threatening definitions.
Article content
Article content
Canada Justin Trudeau needs two.
She is a testimony of Shinbom’s ability to read the American president, although she was the leader of her country for a long time than Prime Minister Trudeau. Unlike Canadian, her reaction to the Trump tariff was not a threat to launch a series of counter -measures. It has only been insisting on cooperation.
Advertisement 2
Article content
Her victory was clear on Monday, when she took the theater for her daily press address. “I saw a tweet, right?” I asked a crowd of journalists. Shinbaum announced in a post on X that, after a phone call that morning, Trump agreed to re -start a 25 % tariff against Mexico for a month.
On the other hand, Mexico will publish 10,000 members of the National Guard on the common borders of the countries to stop the flow of unconventional and fentian immigrants, by all measures, a small price for payment.
The quick success of the Mexican President has sparked the local heat in Canada and put a high strip of Rudo to distribute a similar deal in such a decisive diplomatic moment. It was also offered how the two leaders from different power sites work greatly. Shinbom-just four months after her six-year term-has a united government behind it, with a supernatural loss in Congress. Trudeau, at the same time, is on his way out. In the face of profound fractures in his ruling liberal party, he resigned and will remain prime minister until March, when he steps a new leader.
The highest stories
Article content
Advertising 3
Article content
Hours after Monday afternoon, Trudeau got a tariff delay. He said that Canada will appoint “Ventanil Caesar” and a joint working group begins with the United States to treat infiltration into drugs and money laundering, as well as border security.
Pamela Star, a professor of international relations at the University of South California, said Shinbom “was” managed to manage President Trump brilliantly. ” “She was on her way to be collaborative” when it comes to asking him.
The Canadian Bizo and the dollar were recovered against the dollar on Monday. Also, the tariff delayed concerns of companies, some of which were rushing to obtain their goods across the border.
However, sheinbaum or Trudeau cannot announce complete victory.
“The definitions will remain like a catrodinger, said at the same time. Carlos Capistran, head of economists at Bank of America, said,“ We believe that the end of the game is to re -negotiate USMCA, to get USMCA 2.0. ”This is when the threat of definitions ends .
The general scene
Since Trump officially threatened customs duties in November, just two weeks after his election, Shinbom confirmed that the two may find a way to work together.
Advertising 4
Article content
It announced a plan to build the border reception centers for millions of deportees who promised them to send it. Her government has published drugs and sent the best public security official to the dangerous situation. She also said that North America can cooperate against China.
But it was not clear exactly what more Mexico Trump could offer after signing his executive orders by 25 % of the tariff against Mexico and Canada on Saturday. However, Sheinbauum indicated that there is still hope. “Let’s wait for President Trump’s response to our suggestion,” she said in a video posted on X on Sunday.
Only when I took the microphone on Monday, although it was a holiday in Mexico, it became clear how happy it is. “We have reached a good agreement today. There is a relationship with respect.”
He was also a personal victory for Kenbaum, who faced doubts about whether – as a former mayor of Mexico who just took office, and a woman – is the right person in challenging a volatile president.
Star said it is possible that she faced Mashsta “her whole life and knows how to deal with them.” “She may have appealed to Trump’s arrogance, and she definitely allowed him to demand victory,” in the fall in immigration.
Advertising 5
Article content
The Spanish language invitation started with a translator, as it tends to do it by the protocol, but about half of the conversation occurred directly in English, allowing Kenbaum to establish a direct relationship with Trump, according to a person who knows the matter.
She said that neighboring countries will have working groups on trade, immigration and security issues. She would continue to speak with Trump about the public health campaign in Mexico against Fntanil.
She said that the United States government says: “For the first time, the United States government says that we will work together to avoid high -caliber weapons from entering Mexico,” referring to how Cartlatat has acquired many of its weapons illegally from the United States.
However, the approval to send the National Guard to Mexico to the border was a display of more than any other measures that Sheinbau took before the Monday call.
This is an agreement that can reach the closed doors. But Trump loves glasses, and he needed to make this chaos in order to reach the same agreement. Alajandro Stoelman, president of the consulting company in political markets, said that for Trump, it is a media victory. “Shinbom’s response was good, measuring and dangerous.”
Advertising 6
Article content
Trudeau problems
Regardless of the Shinbaum tactics, there are flagrant differences in Canadian politics that made it difficult for Trudeau to secure a rapid tariff like Mexico.
Trudeau leaves his position in March, before the Canadian elections later this year after nearly a decade. There is also great dissatisfaction among his voters. Constant inflation and low gross domestic product left a lot of Canadians feel the poor. They are also bothering Trump’s repeated desire to make Canada the state of 51 from the United States, the imperial discourse that he did not use in Mexico.
Only 22 % agreed on Trudeau, according to a survey in December from the Angus Reed Institute. Meanwhile, Sheinbaum currently includes approval rate of about 75 %.
Star said that the former Chinbom predecessor was the predecessor of former Mexico, Mexico, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, the predecessor of Shinbom, former Mexico President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. This “indicates that this carries weight with Trump, and makes her look strong.”
In addition, Trudeau’s decision to travel to Mar Lago while Shinbom has made him look weak in Trump’s eyes.
Advertising 7
Article content
Not outside the forest
Some spectators have never believed that Trump would actually follow the definitions of Mexico or Canada in the first place, but the threat was afraid of investors and a serious risk of exporters.
Early on Monday, before Shinbom announced that Trump agreed to stop the definitions, Finance Minister Rogero Ramirez de la or made a call with investors tried to reduce concerns. He said that the nation has sufficient international reserves to bear the potential strike of exports.
It is expected that US multinationals with economic interests in Mexico, including UPS, Amazon and Constellation Brands, will meet with the Mexican Deputy Minister of Economy on Monday evening as companies and government are seeking to work together to avoid fees.
“It seems that the crisis is avoided at the present time, but definitely Mexico is not completely out of the forest,” said Marco Ofido, a XP Investmentos, for Sheinbauum. “The threat is still there. We need to wait if the results can be delivered in one month as agreed.”
The auto industry in Mexico is likely to store imports during the next month to apply for a possible customs tariff, according to Guillermo Rosalis, head of the Mexican Association of Automotive Distributors, or AMDA.
He said that Trump’s delay means “less risks in the face of a generalized tariff.” “However, uncertainty continues and affects the Mexican economy.”
– With the help of Amy Stellman, Michael Obwell, Jenny Leonard and Eric Martin.
Article content
Comments are closed, but trackbacks and pingbacks are open.