Analysis

Basic OverviewCrude oil remains supported as buyers may be looking at the implications of the Fed’s easing cycle on economic activity. As a reminder, crude oil positions are at all-time lows and sentiment is very bearish. These factors can…

Basic OverviewLast Thursday, The Wall Street Journal’s Timiraos published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis point cut to about 40%…

Basic OverviewLast Thursday, The Wall Street Journal’s Timiraos published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis point cut to about 40%…

Basic OverviewYesterday, around 1:00 p.m. EST, Timeraus of the Wall Street Journal published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point rate cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis…

Basic OverviewMarkets were waiting for the US non-farm payrolls report for a clear signal of a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, but instead we got a mixed report with some better details. As a result, the odds of…

Basic OverviewThe US dollar came under further pressure last week as a series of weak US data pushed Treasury yields lower. However, Friday’s non-farm payrolls report was not bad, on the contrary, the data under the hood was better than the…

Basic OverviewThe USD/JPY pair eventually fell to its lowest level in August after a series of weak US data pushed Treasury yields lower, giving the yen a morale boost. Friday's nonfarm payrolls report wasn't bad, on the contrary, the data…

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Basic OverviewLast week was a tough one for crude oil as the price fell more than 6% on renewed growth concerns amid weak US data. OPEC+’s delay in increasing production from October did not spark a rally but helped slow the downward…

Basic OverviewGold has been steadily rising this week since bouncing off the recent range low. Weak US job openings data on Wednesday gave it the support it needed to push towards key resistance at 2530. The move was driven by lower real…