Probability

Goldman Sachs cut its US recession probability after last week’s data, see 25bp Sept cut

A note from the economists at the investment bank. I haven't seen it yet, but the news agencies are carrying the highlights.In summary:It lowered its forecast for a U.S. economic contraction from 25% to 20%, and said it could lower the…

Probability of a US stock market crash is below-average according to “froth forecasts”

Investor Empires

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading involves a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before…

China’s “weekend’s data add to the probability of a surprise rate cut”

Investor Empires

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading involves a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before…

Bloomberg Analyst Cuts Probability of Bitcoin Spot ETF Rejection to 5%

Investor Empires

Popular Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has lowered the possibility of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) denying the launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF to 5%. This latest forecast comes as crypto…