Trump’s Threats and Statehood Taunts Reset Race to Lead Canada

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(Bloomberg) – More than a year ago, the Conservative Party in Canada seemed to be the right track to win a decisive victory in the upcoming elections with the ruling Justin Trudeau alliance. Now, nothing looks guaranteed – the reason is Donald Trump.

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The national mood has changed with the scene to vote this year. The liberal Trudeau party is making gains in public opinion polls, although its members have not yet chosen behind.

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The opinion polls conducted by the Nanos Research Group and Leger Marketing group show eight points or nine points from the liberals, a major transformation of previous strings of 27 points. ABACUS DATA's separate survey this week gives conservatives a much wider advantage, but it also found that voters are more anxious about Trump tend to believe that liberals are better to deal with it.

US President Canada shocked the threats of the use of “economic power”, including the customs tariff, as a strategy to express the country to become an American state. Trump's repeated cynicism has increased for decades of assumptions about national security, created resentment in Canada, and reorganizing the country's policy in this process.

Conservative leader Pierre Puyviri built his profile by targeting Trudeau unnecessarily as the perpetrator of the conflicts of the ability to bear the costs of Canadians, using slogans such as “tax ax”, a criticism of the carbon tax that is unpopular. Now that Trudeau has left and the Canadians face a worrying threat from their southern neighbor, conservatives are returning the brand mark. Poilievere plans for a big speech on Saturday with a national logo – “Canada First” – simulating Trump.

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“Now suddenly, the enemy is not in Ottawa, the enemy in Washington. Sepastian Dalire, CEO of the polling company, said that it completely changes political dynamic.” It is very difficult to continue to use the same language as before, to continue to talk about the same opponents. As before, because this is not what the Canadians want to hear now. “

Poilievere messages on local issues, including inflation, housing, taxes and crime, have acquired the popular mood. Trudeau has decreased since 2023, but the accusation that he was not ready for a trade war-made by Chrycetia Frieland, the Minister of Finance has long been-that I finished recently. Now, Frieland and Mark Carney, the former Bank of Canada and the ruler of England, are among the first places to replace it.

“I think Trudeau's reputation and popularity was so low that anyone else will witness an increase” in the polls, “said Lisa Rit, a former conservative cabinet minister. “The liberals who said they could not vote for Trudeau again, they take another look at their leaders.”

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Aggressive revenge

Freeland has put forward the most aggressive political ideas in response to Trump – for example, that the two countries constitute a unified front against the United States and put a 100 % tariff on the vehicles made by Tesla Inc. This has attracted our southern neighbor, “and he argued that the best option of Canada is to take revenge on the United States and search for other commercial partners.

The Leger poll found that Carney is the favorite candidate among liberal supporters, and that if he became a liberal leader, the party will enjoy the same level of support as conservatives.

“I think there is a turning point when Donald Trump has already you have an existential threat to Canada,” said Sabrina Goverte, a liberal strategy and a chief adviser to public affairs in Northstar. “In the face of this, the Canadians turn away from what was an unresolved time in Canadian politics, which led a lot through the approach of the slogan of the conservative shift.”

A lengthy trade war is likely to be drowned between Canada and the United States Canada in stagnation and causes hundreds of thousands of job losses. Trump got to know a 25 % tariff on steel and aluminum, as well as possible fees on cars and other things, would hurt the main sectors of Ontario rich in voting and cabic.

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The threats made by Washington launched a wave of patriotism that the liberals argue with a mixture of ingenuity of Bolillifer earlier that Canada was “broken”.

“You cannot spend two years telling Canadians that Canada is broken, then suddenly it was decided that Canada is great and that Canada was first,” said Gover.

For conservatives, however, Poiliefre messages match the moment. If the economy is the first number, as they say, their leader has more approval than anyone else.

“I think the question in the elections is what will make life more affordable for Canadians,” said Laura Korkimaki, President of McMellan Vant and Secretary of Irene Outol, Salaf Poilviri. “I think Pierre has always put Canada first and Canadians first in all his political ideas.”

Carney and Frayland Trump used as a justification to give up some of the non-popular Trudeau-Cuard Carbon Receive Policies and the rise in the rate of capital profit tax. Liberalists also reconsider the ideas they have long resisted, such as building more pipelines to transport them from west to east or to coasts, to reduce Canada's dependence on the United States as a major buyer of its Zait.

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Conservatives make fun of the change in the tone of liberals.

“It is laughing, frankly at this stage, to believe that anyone will believe that he will not bring the carbon tax, and that they have suddenly woke up and cared about the oil and gas sector in this country,” said Kurkimaki.

Trump's Trump's departure and the trauma policy of the Canadian politicians also resulted in the spotlight.

Doug Ford, conservative Prime Minister of Ontario, described sudden elections for the end of February. He said that he needs a new authorization of the government spending required to overcome a commercial war, which would monitor the cars and manufacturing sectors in the province.

Ford suggested the approach of carrots and sticks towards Trump. In Washington this week, an American audience again put something on something he calls “Fortress AM-CAN”, a mysterious concept that calls for greater cooperation between the two countries in developing critical minerals and responding to Chinese imports. He brought this message to Fox News and other American media.

At the same time, he was a supporter of revenge on the definitions. After Trump's executive order on February 1 to obtain a wide tariff, Ford said he prohibits American companies from any government projects and tears a contract with Musk's Starlink. Sometimes a blue bispol hat -like is wearing a wet hat, Canada is not for sale.

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Opinion polls indicate that his bet in early elections is likely to pay off, as some expectations show that his party may sweep nearly 100 out of 124 disputed seats on February 27.

“Ford has truly played this situation and has come out to put himself as a more mature state man, instead of the teenage banner we get from Pierre Pollyfeller,” said Julie Simmons, a professor of political science at Jelf University.

But Poilievre's combat style may still resonate in western Canada, where Ford's behavior can be considered parental. She said: “Doug Ford's assumption that he can speak on behalf of Canada may be irritated in a place like Alberta.”

In French -speaking province, another game is running. Parti Quebecois, who is looking for the independence of the province from Canada, was wandering in public opinion polls, with elections scheduled for 2026.

But the support of the Quebec Chapter has decreased from 37 % to 29 % since November, which is the lowest level in five years, according to Lieg.

Dalir said that Kepeus may start displaying things differently now. He said: “If we complain that Canada is very small for the United States, and this is why we are being intimidated, imagine whether 9 million people against the American giant.” “Therefore, it makes your arguments in favor of sovereignty more difficult in the current context.”

With the help of Randy Thanang Kenit.

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