The Bitcoin market has always been defined through its period that appears to be unchangeable for a period of four years, a type of three years of high prices followed by a sharp correction. However, the seismic shift in politics from Washington, led by former President Donald Trump, may break this session and enter into a new era of prolonged growth of the encrypted currency industry.
Matt Hogan, Senior Investment Officer of BitWise Asset Management, asked an interesting question: Can Trump’s executive students break the Crypto course for a period of four years? His answer, although it is accurate, tends towards sure Yes.
Four years cycle: Summary
Hougan explains his personal belief that the four -year Bitcoin market is not driven by half -Bitcoin. He says: “People are trying to link it to the” quadruple “of Bitcoin, but these messages are not specified with the course, after they occurred in 2016, 2020 and 2024.”
The Bitcoin course for a period of four years was historically driven by a mixture of investor morale, technological myths, and market dynamics. The bull runs usually appears after a major incentive – infrastructure improvements or the adoption of institutions – which attract the speculation of new capital and fuel. Over time, the leverage accumulates, the abuses, and the main event – such as organizational repression or financial fraud – appear brutally corrected.
This style has been repeatedly played: from the first days of the collapse of Mount Jacks in 2014 to the ICO boom and the 2017-2018 bust, and recently, the holidays crisis in 2022 with the collapse of FTX and Three Arrows Capital. However, each winter has followed a stronger return, and its peak was in the latest tour of Bitcoin, which prompted it to adopt the investment funds circulating in Bitcoin in 2024.
Related: NASDAQ suggests eye recovery for Blackrock’s bitcoin etf
Executive Order: Change the game
The main question that Hogan explores is whether Trump’s last executive, which gives priority to the development of the ecosystem of digital assets in the United States, will disrupt the specified course. The matter, which defines a clear regulatory framework, and to imagine a national stock of digital assets, is the most optimistic position on Bitcoin from any former American president.
Deep effects:
- Organizational clarity: By eliminating legal uncertainty, EO paves the way for the institutional capital to flow to Bitcoin on an unprecedented scale.
- Wall Street integration: With SEC and the financial organizers now supporting rent, the main banks can enter the space, offer bitcoin products, lending, and the products regulating their customers.
- The government’s accreditation: The concept of national digital assets stocks in the future as the US Treasury can keep Bitcoin as a backup asset, which enhances its position as digital gold.
These developments will not be operated overnight, but their cumulative effect can mainly change the market dynamics in Bitcoin. Unlike previous courses that were driven by visiting speculative retail, this shift is supported by institutional adoption and organizational support – a more stable basis.
Related: Why will hundreds of Bitcoin companies buy in 2025
The end of the winter season of encryption?
If history repeats itself, Bitcoin will continue its ascension until 2025 before facing a significant decline in 2026. However, Hougan suggests that this time it may be different. While he recognizes the danger of excessive surplus and surplus bound to increase, he argues that the huge size of institutional adoption will prevent the type of long bear markets seen in the past.
This is a crucial discrimination. In previous sessions, Bitcoin lacks a strong base of value in value. Today, with the investment funds circulating in the investment funds circulating in pensions, hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds to allocate to Bitcoin, the original no longer depends only on the enthusiasm of retail. The result? Corrections may still occur, but they are likely to be shallow and shorter.
What comes after that?
Bitcoin has already crossed a brand of $ 100,000, and expectations of industry leaders, including CEO of Blackrock Larry Fink, indicate that it may reach $ 700,000 in the coming years. If Trump’s policies accelerate the institutional adoption, the usual model pattern can be replaced for a period of four years with a growth path in the traditional asset category-with gold response to the end of the gold standard in the 1970s.
Related: The CEO of Blackrock Larry Fink expects 700 thousand dollars in Bitcoin, amid inflation concerns
While the risks – including unexpected organizational repercussions and excessive financial leverage – remains clear: Bitcoin has become one of the prevailing financial assets. If the four -year course is driven by a response in Bitcoin and the nature of speculation, its maturity may make such courses outdated.
conclusion
For more than a decade, investors used a four -year cycle as a road map for Bitcoin Market movements. But Trump’s executive may be the decisive moment that disrupts this style, and replaces it with a more sustainable and institutional growth stage. As Wall Street, companies, and even governments are increasingly adopting Bitcoin, the question is no longer the question if The coding winter will come in 2026 – but instead If it will come at all.
Slip: This article is for media purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct comprehensive independent research before making investment decisions.
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